The Duckpin

The Duckpin

The Odds are Stacked in Moore's Favor

Dan Cox's entry into the race makes Wes Moore's campaign extremely happy

Brian Griffiths's avatar
Brian Griffiths
Feb 03, 2026
∙ Paid

Hard to imagine, but the Maryland gubernatorial primary is only a bit over six months away. And the race for Governor still hasn’t really firmed up yet as to who’s in and who’s out. So, let’s take a look, Vegas-style, at who will most likely be Maryland’s governor come the third Wednesday in January 2027.

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The Favorite:

Governor Wes Moore (D):
Odds of winning the Primary: 1-to-1 billion
Odds of winning the General: 2-to-3

I can only imagine what the mood was like in Wes Moore'slast campaign headquarters Friday night after Dan Cox announced his intention to run for Governor again.

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